Mathematics questions, chapter 13
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Simple Probability
40 marks. Use Practice to check each answer as you go, or Exam to answer everything first. A calculator is not needed. Give probabilities as fractions in simplest form unless told otherwise.
Section A: objective questions
12 marksChoose the correct answer.
1
Question 1
Which gives the experimental probability of an event?
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B
Experimental probability is the ratio of how often the event happened (its frequency) to how many times the experiment was done (the number of trials). Option A is the same ratio upside down.
2
Question 2
A fair coin is flipped many times. What happens to the experimental probability of getting a head as the number of flips becomes very large?
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A
With more trials the ratio settles towards a fixed value, which is 0.5 for a fair coin. It changes a lot only when there are few trials.
3
Question 3
A coin is flipped 50 times and shows heads 28 times. What is the experimental probability of heads?
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C
28 ÷ 50 = 1425. 1125 is the probability of tails (22 ÷ 50), and 12 is the theoretical value, not the one found in this experiment.
4
Question 4
What is the sample space when a fair dice is thrown once?
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D
The sample space lists all possible outcomes: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6. {2, 4, 6} and {1, 3, 5} are events (even and odd numbers), not the sample space.
5
Question 5
A number is chosen at random from the prime numbers between 30 and 50. What is n(S)?
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C
The primes between 30 and 50 are 31, 37, 41, 43 and 47, so n(S) = 5. 33, 39, 49 and the even numbers are not prime.
6
Question 6
Diagram 1 shows a tree diagram for choosing one shirt and one tie. How many outcomes are there in the sample space?
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D
Each of the 2 shirts goes with each of the 3 ties, giving 2 × 3 = 6 pairs. 5 comes from adding 2 + 3.
7
Question 7
A box has 14 blue, 21 yellow and 15 red pencils. One pencil is taken at random. What is the probability that it is yellow?
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A
n(S) = 14 + 21 + 15 = 50 and n(yellow) = 21, so P = 2150. 2129 compares yellow with the other colours only (21 : 29). 725 is P(blue) and 310 is P(red).
8
Question 8
Diagram 2 shows the sums when two fair dice are thrown. What is the probability that the sum is greater than 10?
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B
A sum greater than 10 means 11 or 12. The sum 11 appears twice and 12 once, so 3 outcomes out of 36: 336 = 112. 118 counts only the sum 11.
9
Question 9
A fair dice is thrown. A is the event of getting a number greater than 4. Which set shows A', the complement of A?
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A
A = {5, 6}. The complement holds every other outcome in S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, which is {1, 2, 3, 4}. {5, 6} is A itself, and 4 is not greater than 4 so it belongs in A'.
10
Question 10
The probability that it will rain tomorrow is 0.35. What is the probability that it will not rain tomorrow?
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D
P(not rain) = 1 − P(rain) = 1 − 0.35 = 0.65. A probability can never exceed 1, so 1.35 is impossible.
11
Question 11
Diagram 3 shows a Venn diagram. The universal set has 12 elements and set A has 5 elements. Find P(A').
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C
n(A') = 12 − 5 = 7 and n(S) = 12, so P(A') = 712. 512 is P(A). 57 and 75 compare inside with outside instead of with the whole set.
12
Question 12
A bag has 16 red marbles and some blue marbles. The probability of taking a red marble is 25. After 10 more blue marbles are added, what is the probability of taking a blue marble?
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B
Total marbles = 16 ÷ 25 = 40, so there are 24 blue. After adding 10: blue = 34, total = 50, P(blue) = 3450 = 1725. 35 is P(blue) before the 10 were added.
Section B: structured questions
28 marksAnswer all questions. Show your working.
13
Question 13
Aina flips a coin and records the number of heads. Table 1 shows her results.
Table 1
| Number of flips | 20 | 50 | 100 | 500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of heads | 13 | 27 | 52 | 251 |
[1 mark]
(a)Find the experimental probability of a head after 20 flips, as a decimal.
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[1 mark]
(b)Find the experimental probability of a head after 500 flips.
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[2 marks]
(c)What value do the results move towards? Explain why the ratio changes less as the number of flips increases.
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14
Question 14
Faris chooses one bag and one bottle. The bags are black and blue. The bottles are red, green and yellow. Diagram 4 shows the tree diagram.
[2 marks]
(a)List the sample space S.
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[1 mark]
(b)List the elements of the event that Faris chooses a green bottle.
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[1 mark]
(c)Find the probability that Faris chooses a green bottle.
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15
Question 15
Two fair dice are thrown and the two numbers are added. Use the table in Diagram 5.
[1 mark]
(a)How many outcomes give a sum of 8?
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[1 mark]
(b)Find the probability of a sum of 8.
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[2 marks]
(c)Find the probability that the sum is greater than 9.
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16
Question 16
Sara receives pocket money every Monday and every Friday. A day is chosen at random from 3 weeks.
[1 mark]
(a)How many days in the 3 weeks does Sara receive pocket money, and how many days are there in total?
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[1 mark]
(b)Find the probability that Sara receives pocket money on the chosen day.
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[1 mark]
(c)Find the probability that Sara does not receive pocket money on the chosen day.
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[1 mark]
(d)In 12 weeks, on how many days will Sara receive no pocket money?
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17
Question 17
A factory makes 250 light bulbs in one day. The probability that a bulb is faulty is 350. Faulty bulbs are thrown away and every good bulb is sold for RM4.
[1 mark]
(a)How many bulbs are faulty?
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[1 mark]
(b)Find the probability that a bulb chosen at random is not faulty.
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[2 marks]
(c)Calculate the money collected in one day from selling all the good bulbs.
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18
Question 18
In a netball competition the records show that the pink team scored 12 goals from 18 attempts and the blue team scored 18 goals from 30 attempts.
[1 mark]
(a)Find the probability that the pink team scores from one attempt.
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[1 mark]
(b)Find the probability that the blue team scores from one attempt.
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[1 mark]
(c)Which team has the better scoring record? Show how you compare the two values.
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[1 mark]
(d)Ali says, "The pink team will certainly win." Is he right? Give a reason.
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19
Question 19
Zara fills a lucky-dip bag with 20 marbles that are red, blue or green. She wants the probability of taking a red marble to be 14 and the probability of taking a blue marble to be 25.
[1 mark]
(a)How many red marbles should she put in the bag?
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[1 mark]
(b)How many blue marbles should she put in the bag?
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[1 mark]
(c)How many green marbles are there?
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[1 mark]
(d)Find the probability of taking a green marble.
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