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Mathematics questions, chapter 13

Simple Probability

40 marks. Use Practice to check each answer as you go, or Exam to answer everything first. A calculator is not needed. Give probabilities as fractions in simplest form unless told otherwise.

Section A: objective questions

12 marks
Choose the correct answer.
1

Question 1

Which gives the experimental probability of an event?
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B
Experimental probability is the ratio of how often the event happened (its frequency) to how many times the experiment was done (the number of trials). Option A is the same ratio upside down.
For the teacher: Remembering, low difficulty, standard 13.1.1
Textbook p. 278
2

Question 2

A fair coin is flipped many times. What happens to the experimental probability of getting a head as the number of flips becomes very large?
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A
With more trials the ratio settles towards a fixed value, which is 0.5 for a fair coin. It changes a lot only when there are few trials.
For the teacher: Understanding, low difficulty, standard 13.1.2
Textbook p. 279
3

Question 3

A coin is flipped 50 times and shows heads 28 times. What is the experimental probability of heads?
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C
28 ÷ 50 = 1425. 1125 is the probability of tails (22 ÷ 50), and 12 is the theoretical value, not the one found in this experiment.
For the teacher: Applying, low difficulty, standard 13.1.1
Textbook p. 278
4

Question 4

What is the sample space when a fair dice is thrown once?
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D
The sample space lists all possible outcomes: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6. {2, 4, 6} and {1, 3, 5} are events (even and odd numbers), not the sample space.
For the teacher: Remembering, low difficulty, standard 13.2.1
Textbook p. 280
5

Question 5

A number is chosen at random from the prime numbers between 30 and 50. What is n(S)?
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C
The primes between 30 and 50 are 31, 37, 41, 43 and 47, so n(S) = 5. 33, 39, 49 and the even numbers are not prime.
For the teacher: Applying, low difficulty, standard 13.2.1
Textbook p. 283
6

Question 6

Diagram 1 shows a tree diagram for choosing one shirt and one tie. How many outcomes are there in the sample space?
Tree diagram with two shirt branches, white and yellow, each splitting into three tie branches red, green and blue
Diagram 1
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D
Each of the 2 shirts goes with each of the 3 ties, giving 2 × 3 = 6 pairs. 5 comes from adding 2 + 3.
For the teacher: Understanding, medium difficulty, standard 13.2.1
Textbook p. 283
7

Question 7

A box has 14 blue, 21 yellow and 15 red pencils. One pencil is taken at random. What is the probability that it is yellow?
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A
n(S) = 14 + 21 + 15 = 50 and n(yellow) = 21, so P = 2150. 2129 compares yellow with the other colours only (21 : 29). 725 is P(blue) and 310 is P(red).
For the teacher: Applying, medium difficulty, standard 13.2.3
Textbook p. 286
8

Question 8

Diagram 2 shows the sums when two fair dice are thrown. What is the probability that the sum is greater than 10?
Table of sums of two dice with both dice numbered 1 to 6
Diagram 2
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B
A sum greater than 10 means 11 or 12. The sum 11 appears twice and 12 once, so 3 outcomes out of 36: 336 = 112. 118 counts only the sum 11.
For the teacher: Applying, medium difficulty, standard 13.2.2
Textbook p. 285
9

Question 9

A fair dice is thrown. A is the event of getting a number greater than 4. Which set shows A', the complement of A?
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A
A = {5, 6}. The complement holds every other outcome in S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, which is {1, 2, 3, 4}. {5, 6} is A itself, and 4 is not greater than 4 so it belongs in A'.
For the teacher: Understanding, medium difficulty, standard 13.3.1
Textbook p. 287
10

Question 10

The probability that it will rain tomorrow is 0.35. What is the probability that it will not rain tomorrow?
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D
P(not rain) = 1 − P(rain) = 1 − 0.35 = 0.65. A probability can never exceed 1, so 1.35 is impossible.
For the teacher: Applying, low difficulty, standard 13.3.2
Textbook p. 288
11

Question 11

Diagram 3 shows a Venn diagram. The universal set has 12 elements and set A has 5 elements. Find P(A').
Venn diagram: a rectangle with 12 dots, 5 of them inside a circle labelled A and 7 outside it
Diagram 3
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C
n(A') = 12 − 5 = 7 and n(S) = 12, so P(A') = 712. 512 is P(A). 57 and 75 compare inside with outside instead of with the whole set.
For the teacher: Analysing, medium difficulty, standard 13.3.2
Textbook p. 289
12

Question 12

A bag has 16 red marbles and some blue marbles. The probability of taking a red marble is 25. After 10 more blue marbles are added, what is the probability of taking a blue marble?
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B
Total marbles = 16 ÷ 25 = 40, so there are 24 blue. After adding 10: blue = 34, total = 50, P(blue) = 3450 = 1725. 35 is P(blue) before the 10 were added.
For the teacher: Analysing, high difficulty, standard 13.4.1
Textbook p. 291

Section B: structured questions

28 marks
Answer all questions. Show your working.
13

Question 13

Aina flips a coin and records the number of heads. Table 1 shows her results.
Number of flips2050100500
Number of heads132752251
Table 1
[1 mark] (a)Find the experimental probability of a head after 20 flips, as a decimal.
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[1 mark] (b)Find the experimental probability of a head after 500 flips.
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[2 marks] (c)What value do the results move towards? Explain why the ratio changes less as the number of flips increases.
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For the teacher: Understanding, low difficulty, standard 13.1.2
Textbook p. 279
14

Question 14

Faris chooses one bag and one bottle. The bags are black and blue. The bottles are red, green and yellow. Diagram 4 shows the tree diagram.
Tree diagram with two bag branches, black and blue, each splitting into three bottle branches red, green and yellow; the outcome column is left blank
Diagram 4
[2 marks] (a)List the sample space S.
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[1 mark] (b)List the elements of the event that Faris chooses a green bottle.
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[1 mark] (c)Find the probability that Faris chooses a green bottle.
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For the teacher: Applying, medium difficulty, standard 13.2.1
Textbook p. 283
15

Question 15

Two fair dice are thrown and the two numbers are added. Use the table in Diagram 5.
Table of sums of two fair dice, both numbered 1 to 6
Diagram 5
[1 mark] (a)How many outcomes give a sum of 8?
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[1 mark] (b)Find the probability of a sum of 8.
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[2 marks] (c)Find the probability that the sum is greater than 9.
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For the teacher: Applying, medium difficulty, standard 13.2.2
Textbook p. 285
16

Question 16

Sara receives pocket money every Monday and every Friday. A day is chosen at random from 3 weeks.
[1 mark] (a)How many days in the 3 weeks does Sara receive pocket money, and how many days are there in total?
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[1 mark] (b)Find the probability that Sara receives pocket money on the chosen day.
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[1 mark] (c)Find the probability that Sara does not receive pocket money on the chosen day.
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[1 mark] (d)In 12 weeks, on how many days will Sara receive no pocket money?
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For the teacher: Applying, medium difficulty, standard 13.3.2
Textbook p. 288
17

Question 17

A factory makes 250 light bulbs in one day. The probability that a bulb is faulty is 350. Faulty bulbs are thrown away and every good bulb is sold for RM4.
[1 mark] (a)How many bulbs are faulty?
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[1 mark] (b)Find the probability that a bulb chosen at random is not faulty.
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[2 marks] (c)Calculate the money collected in one day from selling all the good bulbs.
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For the teacher: Analysing, high difficulty, standard 13.4.1
Textbook p. 290
18

Question 18

In a netball competition the records show that the pink team scored 12 goals from 18 attempts and the blue team scored 18 goals from 30 attempts.
[1 mark] (a)Find the probability that the pink team scores from one attempt.
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[1 mark] (b)Find the probability that the blue team scores from one attempt.
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[1 mark] (c)Which team has the better scoring record? Show how you compare the two values.
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[1 mark] (d)Ali says, "The pink team will certainly win." Is he right? Give a reason.
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For the teacher: Evaluating, medium difficulty, standard 13.1.1
Textbook p. 276
19

Question 19

Zara fills a lucky-dip bag with 20 marbles that are red, blue or green. She wants the probability of taking a red marble to be 14 and the probability of taking a blue marble to be 25.
[1 mark] (a)How many red marbles should she put in the bag?
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[1 mark] (b)How many blue marbles should she put in the bag?
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[1 mark] (c)How many green marbles are there?
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[1 mark] (d)Find the probability of taking a green marble.
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For the teacher: Creating, high difficulty, standard 13.4.1
Textbook p. 291